Economic Untruths

… “It bears deconstructing, because in the upcoming election, a whole lot of claims are going to be made that are simply untrue. Yet, they’ll be repeated by the mainstream media as if gospel. To wit:

  • “Because of what we did, America, as a whole, is a different place today, our economy is growing instead of shrinking.”

Yes, the economy is growing, not shrinking. But not “because of what we did.” It began growing for one big reason: In December of 2008, one month before Obama took office, the Federal Reserve took the unprecedented step of cutting interest rates to zero. This, more than anything, was why the economy rebounded.

But today, even after $3.7 trillion in federal support for the financial system, the economy is struggling. A new survey of 42 economists by the Associated Press suggests the “U.S. economic recovery will remain slow deep into next year, held back by shoppers reluctant to spend and employers hesitant to hire.”

Growth is expected at less than 3% next year, with unemployment of 9.5% lasting through 2010. And the U.S. won’t return to a normal jobless rate of about 5% until 2015, the economists say.

  • “Our private sector has been adding jobs for six straight months, instead of losing them.”

Technically correct. But the number of private-sector jobs on average each month has been 96,000. That’s well below the 125,000 that economists say is needed each month just to keep up with growth in the work force. We’re not even treading water.

  • “Yesterday a report was put out by two prominent economists – one of them John McCain’s old economist – that said if we hadn’t taken the actions that we took, we would have had an additional 8 million people lose their jobs.”

This is, as the saying goes, nonsense on stilts. That 8 million number is a total fabrication, based on bogus Keynesian multipliers that say $1 in government spending is worth much more than that in private-sector job growth and GDP.

That idea has been utterly destroyed by other economists. “The economics profession abandoned those models 30 years ago, so the tool they are using is like a fossil, frozen in time,” wrote Arnold Kling, adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute.

The “two prominent economists” Obama referred to are former Fed Vice Chairman Alan Blinder and Moody’s Corp. Chief Economist Mark Zandi. The Washington Post describes Zandi as a “Democratic dream, a former (McCain) adviser … who advocates spending over tax cuts as the best way to deliver a quick jolt.” And, we might add, who once pushed the idea that for each $1 spent on food stamps, $1.73 in economic activity would be created.

We found these gaffes and distortions in just the first nine paragraphs of a much longer speech on education. On the economy at least, maybe it’s the president who should go back to school.”

Source: HERE

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Rangle (cartoon)

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Morris (tasteful joke)

Morris, an 82 year-old man, went to the doctor to get a physical.

A few days later, the doctor saw Morris walking down the street with a gorgeous young woman on his arm.

A couple of days later, the doctor spoke to Morris and said, ‘You’re really doing great, aren’t you?’

Morris replied, ‘Just doing what you said, Doc: ‘Get a hot mamma and be cheerful.”

The doctor said, ‘I didn’t say that.. I said, ‘You’ve got a heart murmur; be careful.’

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‘LOVIE Ya!’ Chicago Bear Fans!

Driven to win

BOURBONNAIS —” In the middle of what could have been Lovie Smith’s last annual overly optimistic state-of-the-Bears address to open training camp Thursday, he was asked how the lessons of three straight playoff-less seasons may help prevent a fourth.

Good question. Odd answer.

“Those years you talked about, I have a hard time at 52 years old remembering what happens in the past,” Smith said coyly. “I feel like I know what’s going to happen in the future. We have a good football team right now. I’m not going to look to the past an awful lot.”

Forget about Smith’s memory going at 52. After hearing him describe his seventh Bears team, I would be more concerned about his vision.

“We know what a Super Bowl football team looks like, so this part of the season, all teams can do is talk about the potential they have and see if there are any glaring weaknesses.” Smith said. “We just don’t see that.”

As you roll your eyes, remember Smith declared the Bears free of glaring weaknesses under the same gazebo on the campus of Olivet Nazarene University that he predicted greatness for Adam Archuleta in 2007. And declared Tommie Harris healthy in 2008. And dubbed Devin Hester a No. 1 wide receiver in 2009.

The point is, nothing Smith says on Day 1 means a thing.

He could have taken Thursday’s opportunity to challenge his players publicly to change a culture of mediocrity and sound as fed up with the Bears treading water as the fan base is.

Or he could have used a corny “Monsters of the Midway,” reference, invoked the Super Bowl XLI experience (again) and made visitors think they took a wrong turn amid all the cornfields and ended up in Colts camp in Anderson, Ind.

Smith chose the latter.” …..

Read More: HERE

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Arizona Tea Party (cartoon)

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5.3 Earthquake Off Oregon Coast

:EarthquakeMad: NewYorkKid618PORTLAND, Oregon, July 28 (Reuters) – A moderate earthquake of 5.3 magnitude shook the sea off the Oregon coast on Wednesday morning, the U.S. Geological Survey said, but there were no initial reports of casualties or damage.

The quake’s epicenter was 85 miles west-northwest of the port town of Coos Bay on the state’s southern coast, at a depth of six miles, the USGS said.

There was no immediate warning of any tsunami from the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center.

The quake was not felt in Oregon’s biggest city, Portland, residents said, and was not big enough to generate a tsunami.

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Old Age (tasteful joke)

:old:A couple in their nineties are both having problems remembering things. During a checkup, the doctor tells them that they’re physically okay, but they might want to start writing things down to help them remember.

Later that night, while watching TV, the old man gets up from his chair. ‘Want anything while I’m in the kitchen?’ he asks.

‘Will you get me a bowl of ice cream?’

‘Sure.’

”Don’t you think you should write it down so you can remember it?’ she asks.

‘No, I can remember it.’

‘Well, I’d like some strawberries on top, too. Maybe you should write it down, so as not to forget it?

‘ He says, ‘I can remember that. You want a bowl of ice cream with strawberries.’

‘I’d also like whipped cream. I’m certain you’ll forget that, write it down?’.

Irritated, he says, ‘I don’t need to write it down, I can remember it! Ice cream with strawberries and whipped cream – I got it, for goodness sake!’ Then he toddles into the kitchen.

After about 20 minutes. The old man returns from the kitchen and hands his wife a plate of bacon and eggs.

She stares at the plate for a moment. ‘Where’s my toast ?’

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Leaked Report Hurts Obama

By DICK MORRIS

Having already lost all Republicans and almost all independents, Obama is shedding Democrats these days. According to a Fox News poll, his job approval among them has dropped from 84 percent at the end of June to 76 percent in mid-July. A combination of the Afghan War, the oil spill, Guantanamo and his failure to act on immigration reform have all eroded his credibility with his liberal constituents.

Now comes evidence that the war in Afghanistan cannot be won — certainly not with the effort and constraints now in place. It is obvious that Obama and Hillary Clinton are being duped by the Pakistani government and the Afghan leadership is awash in corruption. With Pakistan offering the Taliban sanctuary next door and the government in Kabul staying in office in order to steal American aid, the Afghan war is looking more and more like Vietnam.

And now we have the equivalent of the leak of the Pentagon Papers discrediting the war effort from the inside.

All this comes at a time when Obama is suffering from erosion in his liberal support due to his seeming pandering over the racial issue, bending first to accommodate conservative critics and then to cave in to black activists. The image of weakness that emerges, combined with the incompetence of his reaction to the BP oil spill, does him no good in his ratings.

The Democratic defection is critical. Those who leave Obama’s ranks will not likely defect to the Republicans. But they will stay home on Election Day in November. In any off-year election, the two-way contest between the parties masks the real competition — a three-way race among Democrats, Republicans and those who stay home.

Why should Democrats come out to vote for Obama? To end the war — the initial selling point he used to get nominated? The war is dragging on without end. His pledge to withdraw the extra troops rings increasingly hollow as it becomes clear that the price for keeping that pledge would be surrender. To close Guantanamo? He has no place to put the terrorists, and the stories of former inmates who have returned to their old day job — killing Americans — makes any further releases too risky. To pass cap-and-trade or amnesty for illegal immigrants or the repeal of the secret ballot in union elections? These issues have come and gone without any action, even when Obama’s rubber-stamp Senate and House majorities would have passed them. To create jobs? Unemployment persists and the evidence suggests a double-dip recession is coming.

And while liberals have increasing reason to question Obama’s performance on their litmus-test issues, they also have increasing cause to wonder at his competence. His inability to be anything but a spectator — and a sometimes disinterested one at that — to BP’s efforts to contain its oil spill and his obvious mismanagement of the Afghan war both raise questions about his abilities, concentration, focus and competence. These doubts further depress Democratic turnout and prospects.

With such scant reason to turn out and vote for Democrats in November, the additional evidence that the war in Afghanistan is turning into a quagmire will further depress the president’s prospects.

The most recent Gallup Poll showed that while 51 percent of Republicans described themselves as “very enthusiastic” about voting in the coming midterm elections, only 28 percent of Democrats shared that level of commitment. The prospects for a Democratic turnout grow dimmer by the week and the chances of a Republican victory, capturing both houses of Congress, grow stronger.

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Scam Targeting Older Men (tasteful joke)

:shopping:A ‘heads up’ for those men who may be regular Lowe’s or Home Depot customers. This one caught me by surprise. Over the last month I became a victim of a clever scam while out shopping. Simply going out to get supplies has turned out to be quite traumatic. Don’t  be naive enough to think it couldn’t happen to you or your friends.

Here’s how the scam works: Two seriously good-looking 20-something girls come over to your car as you are packing your shopping into the trunk. They both start wiping your windshield with a rag and Windex, with their breasts almost falling out of their skimpy T-shirts. It is impossible not to look. When you thank them and offer them a tip, they say, ‘No’ and instead ask you for a ride to McDonald’s. You agree and they get into the back seat.

On the way, they start undressing. Then one of them climbs over into the front seat and starts crawling all over you, while the other one steals your wallet. I had my wallet stolen June 4th, 9th, 10th, twice on the 15th, 17th, 20th, 24th, & 29th. Also July 1st & 4th, twice on the 8th, 16th, 23rd, 26th & 28th, three times last Monday and very likely again this upcoming weekend.

So tell your friends to be careful. What a horrible way to take advantage of older men. Warn your friends to be vigilant. Wal-Mart has wallets on sale for $2.99 each. I found cheaper ones for $1.99 at Dollar General and the Dollar Store and bought them out. Also, you never will get to eat at McDonald’s. I’ve already lost 11 pounds just running back and forth to Lowe’s and Home Depot.
Submitted by RPS

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“You Must Drain the Swamp if You are Going to Govern for the People” – Rangle’s Ethics

“You must drain the swamp if you are going to govern for the people”, said Speaker of the House, Democrat, Nancy Pelosi in 2006. So here we are in 2010 and this is how the “swamp” appears:

Charles Rangel

WASHINGTON – New York Democrat Charles Rangel made a last-minute effort Tuesday to settle his ethics case and prevent a House trial that could embarrass him and damage the Democratic Party.

The talks between Rangel’s lawyer and the House ethics committee’s nonpartisan attorneys were confirmed by ethics Chairman Zoe Lofgren, D-Calif. Lofgren said she is not involved in the talks, and added that the committee’s lawmakers have always accepted the professional staff’s recommendations in previous plea bargains…..

_Rangel’s use of official stationery to raise money for the Charles B. Rangel Center for Public Service at City College of New York.

_His use of four rent-subsidized apartment units in New York City.

_Rangel’s failure to report income as required on his annual financial disclosure forms. The committee had investigated his failure to report income from the lawmaker’s rental unit at the Punta Cana Yacht Club in the Dominican Republic. Rangel also belatedly disclosed between $239,000 and $831,000 in investment assets.

_His failure to pay taxes on all his income from the resort unit.

_A possible role in preserving a tax shelter for an oil drilling company, Nabors Industries, whose chief executive donated money to the Rangel Center while Ways and Means considered the loophole legislation.

Source: HERE

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Democratic Chairman Barney Frank Causes Scene Over $1

Barney Frank

“Massachusetts Congressman Barney Frank caused a scene when he demanded a $1 senior discount on his ferry fare to Fire Island’s popular gay haunt, The Pines, last Friday. Frank was turned down by ticket clerks at the dock in Sayville because he didn’t have the required Suffolk County Senior Citizens ID. A witness reports, “Frank made such a drama over the senior rate that I contemplated offering him the dollar to cool down the situation.” Frank made news last year when he was spotted looking uncomfortable around a bevy of topless, well-built men at the Pines Annual Ascension Beach Party. Frank’s spokesperson confirmed to Page Six that his partner, James Ready, asked the ticket office for a regular ticket for himself and a senior ticket for Frank, “but was turned down because Frank didn’t have a resident ID.”

Source: HERE

Too bad he didn’t make as big a fuss over Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, would have saved us billions!

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Why Pakistan Has An Interest In The Taliban

http://web.stratfor.com/images/maps/Afghan_Pakistan_ethnic_800.jpg?fn=1116797794

…”For Pakistan, however, Afghanistan is an area of fundamental strategic interest. The region’s main ethnic group, the Pashtun, stretch across the Afghan-Pakistani border. Moreover, were a hostile force present in Afghanistan, as one was during the Soviet occupation, Pakistan would face threats in the west as well as the challenge posed by India in the east. For Pakistan, an Afghanistan under Pakistani influence or at least a benign Afghanistan is a matter of overriding strategic importance.

It is therefore irrational to expect the Pakistanis to halt collaboration with the force that they expect to be a major part of the government of Afghanistan when the United States leaves. The Pakistanis never expected the United States to maintain a presence in Afghanistan permanently. They understood that Afghanistan was a means toward an end, and not an end in itself. They understood this under George W. Bush. They understand it even more clearly under Barack Obama, who made withdrawal a policy goal.

Given that they don’t expect the Taliban to be defeated, and given that they are not interested in chaos in Afghanistan, it follows that they will maintain close relations with and support for the Taliban. Given that the United States is powerful and is Pakistan’s only lever against India, the Pakistanis will not make this their public policy, however. The United States has thus created a situation in which the only rational policy for Pakistan is two-tiered, consisting of overt opposition to the Taliban and covert support for the Taliban.

This is duplicitous only if you close your eyes to the Pakistani reality, which the Americans never did. There was ample evidence, as the WikiLeaks show, of covert ISI ties to the Taliban. The Americans knew they couldn’t break those ties. They settled for what support Pakistan could give them while constantly pressing them harder and harder until genuine fears in Washington emerged that Pakistan could destabilize altogether. Since a stable Pakistan is more important to the United States than a victory in Afghanistan — which it wasn’t going to get anyway — the United States released pressure and increased aid. If Pakistan collapsed, then India would be the sole regional power, not something the United States wants.

The WikiLeaks seem to show that like sausage-making, one should never look too closely at how wars are fought, particularly coalition warfare. Even the strongest alliances, such as that between the United States and the United Kingdom in World War II, are fraught with deceit and dissension. London was fighting to save its empire, an end Washington was hostile to; much intrigue ensued. The U.S.-Pakistani alliance is not nearly as trusting. The United States is fighting to deny al Qaeda a base in Afghanistan while Pakistan is fighting to secure its western frontier and its internal stability. These are very different ends that have very different levels of urgency.

The WikiLeaks portray a war in which the United States has a vastly insufficient force on the ground that is fighting a capable and dedicated enemy who isn’t going anywhere. The Taliban know that they win just by not being defeated, and they know that they won’t be defeated. The Americans are leaving, meaning the Taliban need only wait and prepare.

The Pakistanis also know that the Americans are leaving and that the Taliban or a coalition including the Taliban will be in charge of Afghanistan when the Americans leave. They will make certain that they maintain good relations with the Taliban. They will deny that they are doing this because they want no impediments to a good relationship with the United States before or after it leaves Afghanistan. They need a patron to secure their interests against India. Since the United States wants neither an India outside a balance of power nor China taking the role of Pakistan’s patron, it follows that the risk the United States will bear grudges is small. And given that, the Pakistanis can live with Washington knowing that one Pakistani hand is helping the Americans while another helps the Taliban. Power, interest and reality define the relations between nations, and different factions inside nations frequently have different agendas and work against each other.

The WikiLeaks, from what we have seen so far, detail power, interest and reality as we have known it. They do not reveal a new reality. Much will be made about the shocking truth that has been shown, which, as mentioned above, shocks only those who wish to be shocked. The Afghan war is about an insufficient American and allied force fighting a capable enemy on its home ground and a Pakistan positioning itself for the inevitable outcome. The WikiLeaks contain all the details.

We are left with the mystery of who compiled all of these documents and who had access to them with enough time and facilities to transmit them to the outside world in a blatant and sustained breach of protocol. The image we have is of an unidentified individual or small group working to get a “shocking truth” out to the public, only the truth is not shocking — it is what was known all along in excruciating detail. Who would want to detail a truth that is already known, with access to all this documentation and the ability to transmit it unimpeded? Whoever it proves to have been has just made the most powerful case yet for withdrawal from Afghanistan sooner rather than later.”


This report is republished with permission of STRATFOR
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Blaming Business

By Mort Zuckerman

The growing tension between the Obama administration and business is a cause for national concern. The president has lost the confidence of employers, whose worries over taxes and the increased costs of new regulation are holding back investment and growth. The government must appreciate that confidence is an imperative if business is to invest, take risks and put the millions of unemployed back to productive work.

America’s get-up-and-go entrepreneurial culture and adventurous spirit outlived the passing of the frontier, and still inspires and nourishes millions. No other country has a population so habituated to self-help and self-improvement. American managers have consistently led the world in investing in new technologies and providing high-tech training to exploit them. No other country has met the requirements of an emerging economic system that needed people to be mobile both physically and psychologically. No other country invests so much in business training and retraining – on top of having the largest and world’s best graduate and undergraduate business schools.

The energy in business is matched by a unique and remarkable world of finance capital that funds young talent and new ideas, and accepts the risks associated with high-tech, high-growth, high-concept companies.

Further, we enjoy a political framework that articulates not just what the government does but what the government does not do. It is the private sector that makes the overwhelming majority of business decisions, which is the best way to allocate resources.

But – and here’s the heart of the current concern – the Great Recession has resulted in great damage to our traditions. Having expanded at a healthy clip for most of the past 70 years, we have faced a break and then a decline in prosperity. The first decade of the 21st century marks the first decline of median incomes and net worth since figures were compiled over 50 years ago.

Washington’s ability to initiate a resurgence is limited by the long-term dangers of our deficits and our debts. But one unfortunate pattern that has emerged in the past 18 months is to lay all the blame for our difficulties on the business community and the financial world. This quite ignores the role of Congress in many areas, most glaringly in forcing Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration to make loans to people who could not afford them. Then there is the Securities and Exchange Commission, which raised acceptable levels of leverage for financial institutions.

The predilection to blame business was manifest in one of President Barack Obama’s recent speeches. He was supposed to be seeking the support of the business community for a doubling of exports over the next five years. Instead he lashed out at “unscrupulous and underhanded businesses, who are unencumbered by any restriction on activities that might harm the environment, take advantage of middle-class families, or, as we’ve seen, threaten to bring down the entire financial system.”

This kind of gratuitous and overstated demonisation – widely seen in the business community as a resort to economic populism on the part of Mr Obama to shore up the growing weakness in his political standing – is exactly the wrong approach. It ignores his disappointing stimulus program, which was ill-designed to produce the jobs the president promised. It also undermines the confidence that business needs to find if it is to invest in the face of a new generation of regulations, increased bureaucracy and higher taxes.

Disillusion has spread to the Business Round-table, the US Chamber of Commerce and the National Federation of Independent Business, which represents small businesses. The chief economist of the NFIB recently wrote: “Business owners do not trust the economic policies in place or proposed … the US economy faces hurricane-force headwinds and the government is at the center of the storm, making an economic recovery very difficult.”

Some people have called the gulf oil spill “Obama’s Katrina”. The better analogy is to our economic crisis. The causes of economic uncertainty are all too clear, yet the president has yet to mobilize the will or resources to do what is necessary to address them.

Source

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High Tech Sensing Data An Early-Warning System For Train Operators

:train: for choo choo expressThousands of people around the world have died in train wrecks caused by natural disasters. In 2004, the tsunami in Southeast Asia derailed a Sri Lankan train, killing 1,700 people. But with modern advances, these tragedies can be avoided — and a Tel Aviv University researcher, working in collaboration with teams from seven countries, is leading the way.

Prof. Lev V. Eppelbaum of Tel Aviv University’s Department of Geophysics & Planetary Sciences and his colleagues are collecting high-tech sensing data from satellites, airplanes, magnetic and soil sensors, and unmanned aircraft to devise a solution that will provide a reliable early-warning system for train operators.

It’s all part of the European Project FP7 research, “Integrated System for Transport Infrastructures Surveillance and Monitoring by Electromagnetic Sensing,” which includes participants from Israel, Italy, France, Sweden, Norway, Switzerland and Romania. The international team of researchers aims to connect emerging technologies so that train accidents caused by avalanches, earthquakes and even terrorists can be avoided…..

More: HERE

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Gore Questioned Further About Sexual Allegations

PORTLAND, Ore. – “Detectives have interviewed former U.S. Vice President Al Gore this past week in San Francisco, a law enforcement source has confirmed to KATU News. Portland police detectives interviewed Gore on Thursday, questioning him further about allegations that he sexually abused a licensed a massage therapist.” ….

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